Rent delinquency rates among US small businesses increased significantly this month. About 37% of small businesses, which between them employ almost half of all Americans working in the private sector, were unable to pay their rent in full in Oct.: report https://t.co/jSS5RMnea5.
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US Rents fell 0.8% in October, the second straight monthly decline. The year-over-year % increase has now moved down for 11 consecutive months after peaking at 18.1% last November. At 5.8%, this is the smallest YoY increase since May 2021. https://t.co/vBt8SLoa7R
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The Dow ended October with a gain of 13.96% for its best monthly gain since January 1976 and its 10th best month of the last 100 years. https://t.co/H4p1RcpfIn https://t.co/80YXLxLC0s
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In the latest rally, the percentage of stocks with positive momentum is 55% (similar to the previous peak). Not bad. And the market bottom synced perfectly with the annual seasonal pattern — weak from summer to mid-October, then positive until spring. Big Mo? We'll see. https://t.co/J72oFykjKQ
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I am taking over this Halloween! Happy Halloween Everyone! Serving up Profits and Vengeance! https://t.co/HyISr6W1Qr
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The recent equities rally has been decent, technically speaking. Very broad-based. The percentage of stocks above their 20-day average has improved from 3% at the lows to 88%. https://t.co/cxmgAllyAo
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This 5.8% YoY increase is now below the 6.6% increase in the shelter component of CPI. Why is Shelter CPI still moving higher while actual rents are moving lower? Shelter CPI is a lagging indicator & has significantly understated actual housing inflation over the last 2 years. https://t.co/iBu0Mb286Y
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In the midst of the highest inflation numbers in 40+ years, gold is on a seven-month losing streak -- its longest monthly losing streak on record. https://t.co/rN8H66l9yx $GLD https://t.co/sFhfV8CxFu
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Last week's equities rally left us 9% off the lows, but still in a well-established down-channel for the S&P 500. Bear markets can of course include big rallies so the fact that we are in one now should surprise no one. https://t.co/TEotkxKXPA
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Shelter CPI is now playing catch up but still shows only a 11.6% increase since the start of 2020 versus a 23.3% increase in actual Rents and a 43.1% increase in Home Prices. Which means that we're likely to see more increases in Shelter CPI to close some of that gap.
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+$10k month for me trading-wise, but happier I played so safe & traded with small size due to the choppy $DIA $SPY $QQQ and traveling to 7 countries & opening 3 new @karmagawa schools. How’d you do in October? And remember life is NOT just about $ alone, you gotta live it up too!
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Monster Month for the DOW. The best month since 1976. 🧌
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Who is Satoshi Nakamoto and what does his 14-year-old bitcoin white paper mean for the cryptocurrency today? https://t.co/La6DlCSZSO
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With expectations for the Fed’s end-of-cycle reaching a new high of 5.0% recently, it only took a slight tweaking toward a less-severe terminal rate to spark another sharp rally for equities and long bonds. We'll see whether it's a new cyclical bull or just another head fake. https://t.co/BhssI67nLd
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