Stock Market Contents Archive

With total return data going back to 1928... # Years in which both S&P 500 and 10-Year Treasury Bond were down? 5 --> 1931, 1941, 1969, 2018, 2022 # Years in which both S&P 500 and 10-Year Treasury Bond were down more than 10%? 1 --> 2022 https://t.co/5g2kUPBxA9

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So right now we're probably just beginning to feel the outer edge of the storm. Lots of downdraft from monetary tightening that has already taken place coming in the months ahead. 5/

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Breadth had gotten so bad, we've seen a 6% rally to start the week and the S&P's 10-day A/D line is still slightly oversold. https://t.co/H4p1RcpfIn https://t.co/zqdnMkRm27

Now, finding relevant history is hard. Since 1990, all US recessions have been the result of private-sector overreach (dotcom bubble, housing bubble) rather than Fed tightening, so they don't tell us much 2/

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Who let’s this happen. https://t.co/s6wUp5AjzP

Fed’s Bostic wants to pause after December rate hike https://t.co/cjJ1Mrl4EW

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But look at the 1981-2 recession, which was a relatively pure case of the Fed hitting the economy upside the head. Long-term interest rates peaked in Sept. 1981, unemployment more than a year later 3/ https://t.co/8V7KQIerDK

$spy post close. https://t.co/K4xBLBXTd2

Fewer than 50% of U.S. adults are now married. It’s time to give more legal and financial breaks to single people, law professor says. https://t.co/abyEgprwpv

$SPY My Entry to come out Green! This is a textbook trend line crack, got in a little early as we do see end of the day sells off often! Another day of Green! https://t.co/PG2LWed37v

The markets are closed! 🔔 Here were today's top stories! 👇 ✧ ADP report shows 208k jobs added in Sep. ✦ OPEC+ cuts output by 2m barrels per day, double the 1m expected ✧ PMI surveys show pricing pressures remain in Europe, eased slightly in the U.S. https://t.co/V3QP4mFX16 https://t.co/fKbTmyrOs0